Bayesian MMM

Optimize Your Budget with Marketing Mix Modeling

Understand how every channel contributes to your bottom line. Use advanced statistical modeling to allocate your budget where it matters most.

Centralized Truth

All your tests, one database

Meta
Google
TikTok
Pinterest
Apple
TV
CTV
Netflix
OpenAI
X
Snapchat
LinkedIn
Bing
Spotify
YouTube
Direct Mail
SMS
Email
Notifications
Display
Video
Live Streaming
Influencer
Affiliate
Coupons
Partnerships
In-store
Events
Concerts
Movies
Radio
Discount
Q4 Promo
Holdout
Scale Test
Creative A/B
Retargeting
Prospecting
Holiday
Launch
Powered by Your Test Database

Calibrated by Ground Truth

Our MMM doesn't just guess. It uses your database of past lift tests as Bayesian priors to calibrate the model, ensuring results are anchored in reality.

Test Database

Every geo test, user-level test, and platform lift test you run is stored and automatically available for calibration.

Bayesian Priors

We transform your experimental lift results into priors that guide the regression, preventing unrealistic coefficients.

Validation

Automatically validate model accuracy by holding out time periods where you ran known experiments.

Operational MMM Workflow

The most useful MMM systems are not just model fits. They are operating workflows for priors, calibration, response curves, budget scenarios, and repeated validation.

Priors and Constraints

Convert lift tests and business knowledge into priors or constraints so the model starts from experimentally grounded expectations.

Response Curves

Estimate adstock and saturation so the team can see where spend is still scalable versus where marginal returns are flattening.

Optimizer Workflows

Compare budget scenarios and reallocation plans with explicit economic targets such as revenue, margin, or payback.

Revalidation Cycle

Re-check the model against new experiments and holdout periods so it remains useful as channels, privacy conditions, and creative mix evolve.

Channel Contribution

Decompose your sales into baseline, seasonality, and media effects. See exactly how much revenue Facebook, Google, and TV are driving.

Budget Optimizer

Simulate different budget scenarios. Our optimizer suggests the ideal allocation to maximize revenue or ROAS based on saturation curves.

Privacy First

MMM doesn't rely on cookies or user-level tracking. It's the perfect future-proof solution for measurement in a privacy-centric world.

Experiment OS

Measurement Ops Make the Product Repeatable

The models and tests matter, but the workflow around them matters too. Shako Stats is designed to become the operating system around experiment planning, metadata, documentation, and cross-test learning.

Data Management

Centralize datasets, mappings, and historical records so experiments and models always start from the same source of truth.

Tags and Parameters

Organize tests by audience, creative strategy, bidding logic, or business objective so learnings remain searchable and reusable.

Gantt Timeline View

See what tests are planned, in-flight, or completed so overlapping interventions and measurement conflicts are easier to manage.

Documentation

Turn methodology, definitions, and experiment design guidance into an internal operating system instead of leaving them scattered across decks.